Journalists, commentators, and everyone else are scrambling to investigate and weigh in on the effects of our unfolding economic situation. My two-line response, which is hardly unique, goes something like: This country dug its own hole by throwing long-term values/priorities of thrift, moderation, community, and self-reliance out the window in favor of short-term values of profit, excess, and me-first instant gratification. As so often happens, the failures of the foolish undercut the stability of the wise.
In any case, what does all this mean for small farms and local food supplies? On one hand, I think the rise of local foods has been driven in part by a change in our culture that assesses economic choices through factors beyond sheer cost. Concepts like Fair Trade have helped establish the idea that our economic choices have larger ramifications than the immediate pocketbook effects, and as people look for more sustainable, ethical, community-based purchases, local foods and independent small farmers are naturally going to be a part of that shift. Also, in the current climate where people are very angry with large corporations and the failures of the impersonal corporate economy, some are going to turn back to smaller businesses that are more trustworthy and stable, whether small banks or small farms. You can see this in the reaction to every new big food scare, when a few more people declare "enough" and start going to farmers markets or
CSAs rather than grocery stores.
In addition, we've already seen that many factors are leading to overall rising food prices in grocery stores, but those effects are not as strong for independent direct-market farmers. I've heard so many people comment this year that the prices at the farmers market are now equivalent or better to those in a grocery store. We haven't lowered our prices, but the unsustainable model of the corporate food system is catching up to it. Competitive prices help keep small farms a realistic alternative for customers with eroding budgets. Overall higher food prices are more difficult for people to manage in poor economic times, but I hope that some customers will consider purchases of local foods a long-term investment in supporting their local economy through hard times, and resist the urge to find personal bargains that undercut the larger picture.
On the other hand, few people are truly immune from a falling economy. Senator Kit Bond, speaking on NPR yesterday, pointed out that commodity farmers face an uncertain future if the credit markets stay frozen through spring, when they need loans to purchase seed and equipment for the coming year. I'm sure a certain percentage of direct-market farmers would have considered a loan for infrastructure growth (greenhouses, equipment, irrigation, etc) that may not happen now, limiting their ability to grow their business. I don't think very many direct-market farms are quite as dependant on credit as their commodity siblings, however, as demonstrated in the
Columbia Tribune's nice profile of
CFM vendor
The Veggie Patch. Among other things, the piece noted that "Jim taught his daughters to always pay cash up front...It helped that he and Paula also kept their full-time jobs all these years. They never borrowed money to buy picking equipment or greenhouses". Those are the values that keep our economy stable and out of trouble. Maybe their farm didn't grow as fast as it could have with lots of borrowing, but neither was it likely to crash.
Another aspect of the economic ramifications for small farms comes in this month's
Growing For Market (an excellent market farming journal), which notes that prices for seed and supplies are "skyrocketing" and gives an advance warning to all of us just starting to plan for next year. One economic truth that fits most farmers is the unbalanced cash flow; most expenses are incurred in winter and spring, while most profit comes late in the year. Hence the need for credit in commodity farming, and the booming popularity of
CSAs in direct market farming. Especially for those whose methods are based around mulch, plastic, fuel, and other off-farm needs (which is most folks), those rising costs are going to matter deeply.
Narrowing the focus, what are these conditions going to mean for our future? The answer to that lies partly in the path we took to get here. Years ago, we had already decided that our lifestyle needed to be as
independent, sustainable, and self-sufficient as possible. We planned on being a low-expenses, one-income household that freed the second person to raise our own food and do as much for ourselves as possible. We saw the country's path as inherently unstable, and did not want to be overly dependent on factors we could not control. Our experience working at
Waterpenny Farm in Virgina helped broaden our perspective from self-contained homestead to active business; we saw that self-sufficiency and food production could be a profitable business and not just a self-indulgence. That realization launched us on our current path.
The answer also lies in the farming methods we've chosen to attempt. By working to establish a diverse, integrated farm with produce, fruits, meat, eggs, dairy, and more, we are hedging our bets and diversifying our options for income production. By focusing our philosophy on organic no-till methods, centered on permanent raised beds, we are attempting to cut out most of the expensive inputs that will be causing farms budget issues in coming years (fertilizer, plastic mulch, equipment maintenance, etc.). We don't know if it will work, though we are basing this approach on the
successful model put forward by Foundation Farm in Joanna's home ground of northern Arkansas. Our approach takes a lot of time and effort up-front; establishing a whole field of permanent raised beds is far more time-consuming than simply tilling the whole thing in every year. But we're thinking long-term, investing our time and effort in establishing a permanent infrastructure that can sustain us and our business at a much lower cost in time and money over the long run.
Fundamentally, we've chosen to go into a business producing something that will never be fully outsourced, that will always be needed, and whose core value rises as times get worse. I feel a lot better about the viability of raising quality food to sell to my community than almost any other career I could have right now. At worst, we're in a position to supply ourselves with the fundamentals (food, shelter, heat) through the worst of times. At best, we can help keep those fundamentals available to our neighbors and our region. The economics are still uncertain; we don't yet know what it will take for this farm to truly support itself. But we're going to do our
damndest to find out, and there's no other career I'd feel better about right now.